HuncH
/
common.back_to_markets
AI PICK
common.live_market

Will the Republic of China (Taiwan) report a confirmed incursion by >25 PLA aircraft into its ADIZ within the next hour?

common.volume$24,556
common.deadlineMar 11, 2026

Market Probability Chart

Forecast
AI Analysis Active
Live
Insufficient Data for Projection

common.about_results

Tensions are at a post-election peak following the inauguration of Taiwan's new president. PLA naval and air forces have been conducting 'combat readiness patrols.' Intelligence chatter and satellite imagery suggest a significant sortie is being prepared from mainland bases. A large-scale incursion would be a major provocation, likely triggering immediate diplomatic protests and moving financial markets sensitive to cross-strait stability.
common.select_outcome
common.buy_sharescommon.max_limit: 10,000
common.shares
common.avg_cost
50¢common.per_share
common.investing$5.00
common.potential_returncommon.if_resolves YES
$10.00
common.secured_by